04-21-2020, 12:28 PM
Here’s What We Know About
Kim Jong Un’s Health Situation
Intelligence agencies and journalists are scrambling to verify a report
claiming the North Korean leader is “gravely ill” after heart surgery.
By David Gilbert
Apr 21 2020, 6:07am
![[Image: 3059.jpg?width=445&quality=85&auto=forma...e210a5517c]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4af5860e4694b6e052cda495bca79921e4ee5ee0/367_128_3059_1836/master/3059.jpg?width=445&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=ad19c49d3aa3b309097506e210a5517c)
The world is scrambling to figure out whether a report claiming
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is “gravely ill” after
heart surgery is true.
There was fevered speculation among U.S. media outlets late
on Wednesday, that Kim was “gravely ill” or “brain dead” after
the surgery but those claims have since been toned down
after both Chinese and South Korean intelligence officials
said there was no evidence to back them up.
The North Korean regime is typically highly secretive,
but at a time when all borders are closed due to fears of
importing coronavirus, there is even less information coming
out of the country.
This is not the first time Kim’s health has been the cause
of speculation. In 2014 he disappeared for 40 days
sparking rumors he had been ousted in coup, only to
reappear holding a cane.
“It is doubtful that we can have reliable intelligence on
the top leader’s health situation from the most secretive
country in the world,” Baohui Zhang, director of the Centre
for Asian Pacific Studies at Lingnan University in Hong Kong,
told VICE News. “There have been many rumors about
North Korea’s elite politics and they later turned out to be false.”
What do we know?
The first report that Kim had undergone heart surgery came
on Monday from NK Daily, a website run by North Korean defectors.
An anonymous source told the outlet that Kim had undergone
heart surgery on April 12, at the Hyangsan Medical Center,
a dedicated hospital used only by the Kim family located
north of the capital Pyongyang.
The report was picked up by news agencies early on Tuesday
but without additional confirmation.
Then the story took a sensational turn when CNN reported,
based on information from anonymous U.S. intelligence
sources, that Kim was in “grave danger.”
The report subsequently changed to say U.S. intelligence
officials were monitoring reports that Kim was gravely ill.
NBC went further by tweeting that Kim was “brain dead.”
The network quickly deleted the tweet, saying the decision
was made “out of an abundance of caution.”
A similar claim was being shared widely in South Korea
over the weekend.
Later on Tuesday, South Korea and Chinese intelligence
sources appeared to pour cold water on the speculation,
claiming that there were no signs that Kim was in
danger — though neither side denied that the
North Korean leader had undergone heart surgery.
When was Kim last seen in public?
Kim was last seen on April 11, when he presided over a
meeting of the ruling party Politburo, ahead of a session
of the country’s rubber-stamp Supreme People’s Assembly
the next day. Kim did not attend the SPA session on April 12,
but that was expected as he is not a deputy anymore.
On April 14 the country conducted cruise missile tests.
Kim would typically oversee such tests but, a week later,
there are still no official pictures or state media reports
about the launch.
Rumors about Kim’s whereabouts really picked up on April 15
when he was absent from the celebrations to mark the
country’s most important holiday, the birthday of Kim Il Sung,
North Korea’s founder. State media failed to report
whether Kim attended the ceremony at the
Kumsusan Palace of the Sun.
But on Monday, North Korea’s state-run news agency
reported that Kim had sent “a congratulatory message to
Miguel Mario Diaz-Canel Bermudez, president of
the Republic of Cuba.”
What now?
With the borders closed and less information than ever
getting out of the country, everyone from journalists to
national security officials and North Korea analysts are
now trying to find ways to establish what the situation
really is.
“We have no information to confirm regarding rumors
about Chairman Kim Jong Un’s health issue that have
been reported by some media outlets. Also, no unusual
developments have been detected inside North Korea,”
a spokesman for South Korea’s presidential office
said in the statement.
South Korean officials told AP they believe
Kim is staying at an unspecified location outside of Pyongyang
with some of his close confidants adding that Kim appeared
to be conducting state affairs as normal and there
weren’t any unusual movements or emergency reactions
from the North’s ruling party, military, or cabinet.
An official with the Chinese Communist Party’s
International Liaison Department, the main Chinese
body dealing with Pyongyang told Reuters they
believe Kim is not critically ill.
The White House said it was aware of the reports about
Kim’s health being precarious before they appeared in
the media, but would not say where the information
came from. An official told AP the U.S. had information
that Kim may have undergone surgery and that
complications may have rendered him “incapacitated or worse.”
Inside North Korea on Tuesday schools reopened after
being closed due to the coronavirus outbreak, and one
source in Pyongyang told NK News that there
“nothing unusual for the time being.”
However, it’s worth noting that the North Korean public
would typically be shielded from any information
about Kim’s health.
Who takes his place?
If anything were to happen to Kim, one of the problems
facing the country is that there is no clear successor in place.
Kim was groomed from a young age by his father Kim Jong Il
to lead the country, but because Kim has no adult children
of his own — he reportedly has a 7-year-old daughter — it
would likely be Kim’s sister, Kim Yo Jong, who would be
first in line to take control.
She has become her brother’s closest confidant and her
position within the ruling Workers’ Party has become
more important in recent months.
Last month, she made her first public statement,
condemning the South as a “frightened dog barking”
before publicly praising President Donald Trump for
sending Kim a letter pledging support in fighting the
coronavirus pandemic.
“If Kim is seriously ill or his mortality is being seen as
probable, his sister is likely to want to be the successor,”
Steve Tsang, director of London's SOAS China Institute,
told VICE News. “As she is not an anointed successor
already groomed and thus in a good place to assert
leadership if Kim Jong Un should die, [it] remains to be
seen if she will be embraced by the rest of the establishment.”
![[Image: kim-jong-un-2014-oct-14-image03.jpg]](https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/dprk/images/kim-jong-un-2014-oct-14-image03.jpg)
Kim Jong Un’s Health Situation
Intelligence agencies and journalists are scrambling to verify a report
claiming the North Korean leader is “gravely ill” after heart surgery.
By David Gilbert
Apr 21 2020, 6:07am
![[Image: 3059.jpg?width=445&quality=85&auto=forma...e210a5517c]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4af5860e4694b6e052cda495bca79921e4ee5ee0/367_128_3059_1836/master/3059.jpg?width=445&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=ad19c49d3aa3b309097506e210a5517c)
The world is scrambling to figure out whether a report claiming
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is “gravely ill” after
heart surgery is true.
There was fevered speculation among U.S. media outlets late
on Wednesday, that Kim was “gravely ill” or “brain dead” after
the surgery but those claims have since been toned down
after both Chinese and South Korean intelligence officials
said there was no evidence to back them up.
The North Korean regime is typically highly secretive,
but at a time when all borders are closed due to fears of
importing coronavirus, there is even less information coming
out of the country.
This is not the first time Kim’s health has been the cause
of speculation. In 2014 he disappeared for 40 days
sparking rumors he had been ousted in coup, only to
reappear holding a cane.
“It is doubtful that we can have reliable intelligence on
the top leader’s health situation from the most secretive
country in the world,” Baohui Zhang, director of the Centre
for Asian Pacific Studies at Lingnan University in Hong Kong,
told VICE News. “There have been many rumors about
North Korea’s elite politics and they later turned out to be false.”
What do we know?
The first report that Kim had undergone heart surgery came
on Monday from NK Daily, a website run by North Korean defectors.
An anonymous source told the outlet that Kim had undergone
heart surgery on April 12, at the Hyangsan Medical Center,
a dedicated hospital used only by the Kim family located
north of the capital Pyongyang.
The report was picked up by news agencies early on Tuesday
but without additional confirmation.
Then the story took a sensational turn when CNN reported,
based on information from anonymous U.S. intelligence
sources, that Kim was in “grave danger.”
The report subsequently changed to say U.S. intelligence
officials were monitoring reports that Kim was gravely ill.
NBC went further by tweeting that Kim was “brain dead.”
The network quickly deleted the tweet, saying the decision
was made “out of an abundance of caution.”
A similar claim was being shared widely in South Korea
over the weekend.
Later on Tuesday, South Korea and Chinese intelligence
sources appeared to pour cold water on the speculation,
claiming that there were no signs that Kim was in
danger — though neither side denied that the
North Korean leader had undergone heart surgery.
When was Kim last seen in public?
Kim was last seen on April 11, when he presided over a
meeting of the ruling party Politburo, ahead of a session
of the country’s rubber-stamp Supreme People’s Assembly
the next day. Kim did not attend the SPA session on April 12,
but that was expected as he is not a deputy anymore.
On April 14 the country conducted cruise missile tests.
Kim would typically oversee such tests but, a week later,
there are still no official pictures or state media reports
about the launch.
Rumors about Kim’s whereabouts really picked up on April 15
when he was absent from the celebrations to mark the
country’s most important holiday, the birthday of Kim Il Sung,
North Korea’s founder. State media failed to report
whether Kim attended the ceremony at the
Kumsusan Palace of the Sun.
But on Monday, North Korea’s state-run news agency
reported that Kim had sent “a congratulatory message to
Miguel Mario Diaz-Canel Bermudez, president of
the Republic of Cuba.”
What now?
With the borders closed and less information than ever
getting out of the country, everyone from journalists to
national security officials and North Korea analysts are
now trying to find ways to establish what the situation
really is.
“We have no information to confirm regarding rumors
about Chairman Kim Jong Un’s health issue that have
been reported by some media outlets. Also, no unusual
developments have been detected inside North Korea,”
a spokesman for South Korea’s presidential office
said in the statement.
South Korean officials told AP they believe
Kim is staying at an unspecified location outside of Pyongyang
with some of his close confidants adding that Kim appeared
to be conducting state affairs as normal and there
weren’t any unusual movements or emergency reactions
from the North’s ruling party, military, or cabinet.
An official with the Chinese Communist Party’s
International Liaison Department, the main Chinese
body dealing with Pyongyang told Reuters they
believe Kim is not critically ill.
The White House said it was aware of the reports about
Kim’s health being precarious before they appeared in
the media, but would not say where the information
came from. An official told AP the U.S. had information
that Kim may have undergone surgery and that
complications may have rendered him “incapacitated or worse.”
Inside North Korea on Tuesday schools reopened after
being closed due to the coronavirus outbreak, and one
source in Pyongyang told NK News that there
“nothing unusual for the time being.”
However, it’s worth noting that the North Korean public
would typically be shielded from any information
about Kim’s health.
Who takes his place?
If anything were to happen to Kim, one of the problems
facing the country is that there is no clear successor in place.
Kim was groomed from a young age by his father Kim Jong Il
to lead the country, but because Kim has no adult children
of his own — he reportedly has a 7-year-old daughter — it
would likely be Kim’s sister, Kim Yo Jong, who would be
first in line to take control.
She has become her brother’s closest confidant and her
position within the ruling Workers’ Party has become
more important in recent months.
Last month, she made her first public statement,
condemning the South as a “frightened dog barking”
before publicly praising President Donald Trump for
sending Kim a letter pledging support in fighting the
coronavirus pandemic.
“If Kim is seriously ill or his mortality is being seen as
probable, his sister is likely to want to be the successor,”
Steve Tsang, director of London's SOAS China Institute,
told VICE News. “As she is not an anointed successor
already groomed and thus in a good place to assert
leadership if Kim Jong Un should die, [it] remains to be
seen if she will be embraced by the rest of the establishment.”
![[Image: kim-jong-un-2014-oct-14-image03.jpg]](https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/dprk/images/kim-jong-un-2014-oct-14-image03.jpg)